Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Olympiakos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | +33 | 68 |
| 2 |
PAOK
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +25 | 54 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +14 | 49 |
| 4 |
Giannina
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos
|
28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | +21 | 45 |
| 6 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 7 |
Aris
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 8 |
OFI Crete
|
28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | +1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Volos NFC
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 11 |
Panetolikos
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -18 | 32 |
| 12 |
Ionikos
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 |
Atromitos
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -25 | 23 |
| 14 |
Lamia
|
28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -19 | 19 |
| 15 |
Apollon
|
28 | 2 | 9 | 17 | -38 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos
Aris
Olympiakos
Olympiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos
OFI Crete
Volos NFC
Olympiakos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.