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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Ankaragücü
T T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Besiktas
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,3
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ankaragücü 19. · Besiktas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +6 11
2 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +9 10
3 Buyuksehyr 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Gaziantep 4 3 1 0 +5 10
6 Ad. Demirspor 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Trabzonspor 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -1 6
11 Giresunspor 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Alanyaspor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Karagumruk 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Sivasspor 5 0 3 2 -5 3
15 İstanbulspor 4 1 0 3 -6 3
16 Kasimpasa 4 1 0 3 -10 3
17 Hatayspor 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Ümraniyespor 5 0 1 4 -4 1
19 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Besiktas
1–0 G. Beridze
T. Ciğerci
26′
30′
J. Muleka 1–1
35′
D. Alli 1–2
W. Weghorst
Half-time 1–2
L. Diack 🔁
↦ G. Zahid
46′
F. Üzüm 🔁
↦ O. Ceylan
46′
2–2 G. Beridze
T. Ciğerci
47′
Federico Macheda 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 Josef de Souza
↦ D. Alli
E. Derdiyok 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
68′
72′
ℹ️ Salih Uçan
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Jesé 🔁
↦ G. Ariyibi
74′
74′
G. Nkoudou 2–3
Marlon 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 C. Tosun
↦ G. Nkoudou
82′
🔁 U. Meraş
↦ Gedson Fernandes
S. Osmanoğlu 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
85′
Marlon 🟨
94′
Marlon 🟥
94′
Bahadır Han Güngördü 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
99′
🟥 Souza
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
99 B. Güngördü G
77 O. Ceylan D
4 A. Çankaya D
18 N. Mujakić D
3 Marlon D
8 Pedrinho M
30 T. Ciğerci M
12 G. Ariyibi M
19 G. Zahid M
21 G. Beridze M
11 F. Macheda F
Bench (10)
14 L. Diack
88 F. Üzüm
9 E. Derdiyok
10 Jesé
90 S. Osmanoğlu
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
17 Y. Güreler
5 A. Durak
1 N. Aslan
6 Ş. Çetin

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
99 E. Bilgin G
2 V. Rosier D
20 N. Uysal D
26 R. Saïss D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
40 J. Muleka M
11 D. Alli M
7 G. Nkoudou M
10 W. Weghorst F
Bench (10)
5 Josef de Souza
9 C. Tosun
77 U. Meraş
4 Francisco Montero
22 B. Vardar
23 Welinton
33 O. Akgün
1 E. Destanoğlu
17 K. Kesgin
14 E. Uzunhan

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,06
U
3,62
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.