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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Verona

T T U T U

2–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 17. · Sampdoria 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Cremonese	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.