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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Spezia

S S T U T

2–2

Full-time

Bologna

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 5

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 13. · Bologna 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Cremonese	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.