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Eliteserien

Referee: S Moen

Valerenga

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

7 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Lillestrom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	21	16	3	2	+28	51
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	12	5	4	+27	41
3	Lillestrom	20	12	5	3	+19	41
4	Rosenborg	21	11	7	3	+17	40
5	Valerenga	20	10	3	7	+5	33
6	Viking	21	8	5	8	+2	29
7	Stromsgodset	21	8	5	8	+2	29
8	Tromso	21	6	9	6	-6	27
9	Odd	21	8	3	10	-12	27
10	Haugesund	21	7	4	10	-2	25
11	Aalesund	21	6	7	8	-8	25
12	Ham-Kam	21	4	11	6	-1	23
13	Sarpsborg 08	21	7	1	13	-6	22
14	Sandefjord	21	6	4	11	-13	22
15	Jerv	21	4	2	15	-33	14
16	Kristiansund	21	3	4	14	-19	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Molde	11	8	1	2	+16	25
3	Lillestrom	10	7	2	1	+14	23
4	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+5	21
5	Bodo/Glimt	11	5	5	1	+18	20
6	Stromsgodset	11	6	2	3	+8	20
7	Valerenga	9	6	1	2	+7	19
8	Viking	10	5	3	2	+9	18
9	Haugesund	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Odd	11	5	0	6	-3	15
11	Ham-Kam	11	3	5	3	+1	14
12	Aalesund	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	1	6	-2	13
14	Jerv	11	4	1	6	-9	13
15	Kristiansund	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Sandefjord	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	8	2	0	+12	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	0	3	+9	21
3	Lillestrom	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Sandefjord	11	5	0	6	-5	15
5	Rosenborg	11	3	5	3	+2	14
6	Valerenga	11	4	2	5	-2	14
7	Aalesund	11	3	3	5	-7	12
8	Odd	10	3	3	4	-9	12
9	Viking	11	3	2	6	-7	11
10	Ham-Kam	10	1	6	3	-2	9
11	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	0	7	-4	9
12	Stromsgodset	10	2	3	5	-6	9
13	Haugesund	10	2	2	6	-4	8
14	Tromso	11	0	6	5	-11	6
15	Kristiansund	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Jerv	10	0	1	9	-24	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.