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Eredivisie

Referee: J van der Laan

Waalwijk

S U U T U

5–2

Full-time

Excelsior

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

22 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Excelsior 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+16	12
4	Twente	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-5	6
9	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-4	5
12	Cambuur	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Volendam	5	1	1	3	-12	4
15	Waalwijk	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	5	0	0	5	-8	0
18	For Sittard	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	FC Emmen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	+2	3
10	Volendam	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
16	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Cambuur	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Volendam	3	0	1	2	-10	1
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.