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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Osasuna

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Vallecano

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 9. · Vallecano 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Girona	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Sevilla	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.