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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Reims
T T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Lens
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
4,2
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
2,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
17 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Reims 14. · Lens 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 5 1 0 +20 16
2 Marseille 6 5 1 0 +10 16
3 Lyon 5 4 1 0 +10 13
4 Lens 5 4 1 0 +8 13
5 Lille 6 3 1 2 +0 10
6 Montpellier 6 3 0 3 +4 9
7 Rennes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Lorient 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Auxerre 6 2 1 3 -4 7
10 Nantes 6 1 3 2 -2 6
11 Troyes 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Clermont 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Reims 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Monaco 5 1 2 2 -4 5
17 Brest 5 1 1 3 -8 4
18 Strasbourg 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Angers 6 0 2 4 -11 2
20 Ajaccio 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Lens
Andreaw Gravillon 🟨
33′
45′
🟨 Facundo Medina
Half-time 0–0
Bradley Locko 🟨
46′
56′
🟨 Jonathan Gradit
62′
🔁 J. Cabot
↦ P. Frankowski
62′
🔁 D. Machado
↦ M. Haïdara
66′
🟥 Deiver Machado
70′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ David Costa
K. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Flips
71′
71′
🔁 J. Onana
↦ Ł. Poręba
1–0 F. Balogun
K. Doumbia
71′
75′
🔁 A. Claude-Maurice
↦ J. Gradit
82′
L. Openda 1–1
F. Sotoca
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ B. Locko
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reims

3-4-1-2
1 P. Pentz G
6 A. Gravillon D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
4 M. Busi M
15 M. Munetsi M
17 D. Lopy M
28 B. Locko M
70 A. Flips F
39 J. Ito F
29 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
3 K. Doumbia
19 M. van Bergen
41 I. Diakité
94 Y. Diouf
18 M. Adeline
99 R. Guitane
10 A. Zeneli
11 N. Mbuku
48 S. Koeberlé

Coach: Óscar García

Lens

3-4-3
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
26 S. Samed M
13 Ł. Poręba M
21 M. Haïdara M
7 F. Sotoca F
11 L. Openda F
20 David Costa F
Bench (9)
19 J. Cabot
3 D. Machado
23 I. Boura
6 J. Onana
18 A. Claude-Maurice
16 J. Leca
15 Steven Fortès
31 R. Labeau Lascary
34 Y. Fofana

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
3,51
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.