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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
Alanyaspor
S S S U U
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor İstanbulspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,0
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,3
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alanyaspor 11. · İstanbulspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gaziantep 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Buyuksehyr 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Ad. Demirspor 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Giresunspor 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Galatasaray 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Konyaspor 3 1 2 0 +4 5
11 Alanyaspor 3 1 2 0 +2 5
12 Karagumruk 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Kayserispor 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Sivasspor 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Ümraniyespor 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Hatayspor 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 İstanbulspor 3 0 0 3 -7 0
19 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor İstanbulspor
Half-time 0–0
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ A. Lusamba
46′
Leroy Fer 🟨
47′
48′
V. Ethemi 0–1
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ L. Fer
58′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
58′
Daniel Candeias 🟨
67′
Pedro Pereira ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
68′
71′
🟨 İbrahim Yilmaz
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ Wilson Eduardo
71′
72′
🔁 K. Abazaj
↦ İ. Yılmaz
76′
🟨 Valon Ethemi
77′
🔁 D. Aydın
↦ M. Sarıkaya
Furkan Bayır 🟨
79′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ Pedro Pereira
79′
81′
🔁 E. Gültekin
↦ V. Ethemi
86′
🟨 Kristal Abazaj
87′
🟨 Kristal Abazaj
87′
🟥 Kristal Abazaj
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
27 Pedro Pereira D
4 F. Bayır D
29 J. Balkovec D
88 Y. Özdemir D
8 L. Fer M
11 E. Bekiroğlu M
10 Z. Ferhat M
97 A. Lusamba M
17 Wilson Eduardo M
21 Candeias F
Bench (10)
6 U. Güneş
98 I. Doumbia
70 O. Aydın
9 E. Yardımcı
75 T. Bingöl
3 A. Gülay
25 M. Mevlja
99 Y. Karagöz
18 O. Targhalline
39 K. Erciyas

Coach: F. Farioli

İstanbulspor

3-4-2-1
1 D. Jensen G
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
3 D. Aksu D
13 O. Berber M
57 M. Kabasakal M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
66 A. Yaşar M
98 J. Topalli F
27 V. Ethemi F
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
7 K. Abazaj
8 D. Aydın
19 E. Gültekin
59 A. Arda
20 P. Ebert
11 A. Čajič
50 M. Ologo
77 K. Bağış
44 Y. Özer
26 M. Serbest

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U
4,59
B ✓
6,28
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.