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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Pendikspor

T U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pendikspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

40%

17%

Both score Ø 49%

80%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

80%

20%

Average goals

3,0

1,2

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

2,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,84 xG 1,67

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pendikspor 17. · Karagumruk 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+5	+6.1	12
2	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+4.1	10
3	Rizespor	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.4	10
4	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+5	-0.5	9
5	Kayserispor	5	2	3	0	+3	-0.6	9
6	Ad. Demirspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.9	8
7	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.5	8
8	Hatayspor	5	1	4	0	+4	+2.8	7
9	Alanyaspor	5	1	4	0	+2	+1.1	7
10	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.1	7
11	Kasimpasa	5	1	3	1	-3	+1.3	6
12	Ankaragücü	5	1	2	2	+0	-0.6	5
13	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	+0	-5.6	5
14	Sivasspor	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.1	5
15	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.1	3
16	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-3	+2.8	3
17	Pendikspor	5	0	3	2	-7	-4.1	3
18	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-7.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.9	2
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
3	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.2	6
6	Alanyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
7	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
8	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
9	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
10	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
11	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
12	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
13	Antalyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
14	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
15	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
17	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
18	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.6	1
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
3	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.3	5
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
5	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
6	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
7	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
8	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
9	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
12	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
14	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
15	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
19	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.