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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şeker
Buyuksehyr
U S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Karagumruk
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,05 xG 0,68
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 19. · Karagumruk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hatayspor 2 1 1 0 +4 +2.1 4
2 Alanyaspor 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.0 4
3 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.6 4
4 Kasimpasa 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
5 Fenerbahce 1 1 0 0 +1 +3.8 3
6 Ad. Demirspor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.7 3
7 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.7 3
8 Trabzonspor 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.9 3
9 Konyaspor 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.5 2
10 İstanbulspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.5 2
11 Kayserispor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.4 2
12 Sivasspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
13 Samsunspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
14 Rizespor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
15 Antalyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
16 Ankaragücü 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
17 Gaziantep 1 0 0 1 -1 -3.8 0
18 Karagumruk 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.7 0
19 Buyuksehyr 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.4 0
20 Pendikspor 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Karagumruk
6′
Ryan Mendes 0–1
M. Rohdén
Eden Karzev 🟨
28′
30′
M. Şengezer 1–1
own goal
Serdar Gürler 🟨
32′
38′
🟨 Ryan Mendes
P. Keny 🔁
↦ E. Kartsev
39′
Half-time 1–1
C. Sertel 🔁
↦ Ş. Özbayraklı
46′
61′
🟨 Marcus Rohdén
61′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ K. Lasagna
62′
🔁 O. Shukurov
↦ Ryan Mendes
71′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ M. Rohdén
E. Barlık 🔁
↦ D. Aleksić
82′
Dimitrios Pelkas 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 S. Onur
↦ A. Uğur
87′
🔁 B. Darri
↦ C. Keles
90′
🟨 Otabek Shukurov
B. Aydoğmuş 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
90′
94′
🟨 Salih Dursun
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Buyuksehyr

4-4-2
16 M. Şengezer G
2 Ş. Özbayraklı D
32 Edgar Ié D
5 Léo Duarte D
60 Lucas Lima D
7 S. Gürler M
72 E. Kartsev M
10 B. Özcan M
14 D. Pelkas M
8 D. Aleksić F
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (10)
17 P. Keny
88 C. Sertel
29 E. Barlık
80 B. Aydoğmuş
1 V. Babacan
34 Y. Dilek
85 M. Fofana
91 B. Çelik
98 D. Dilmen
24 E. Karaağaç

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 M. Dituro G
3 F. Veseli D
26 F. Ceccherini D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
6 M. Rohdén M
8 S. Feghouli M
77 A. Uğur M
7 C. Keles F
15 K. Lasagna F
20 Ryan Mendes F
Bench (10)
54 S. Dursun
29 O. Shukurov
10 A. Ljajić
17 S. Onur
11 B. Darri
23 E. Bilgin
14 E. Tatlı
22 E. Tintiş
21 E. Pehlivan
24 L. Nicholas

Coach: A. Erdem

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U
4,09
B ✓
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Şeker · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.