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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
FeralpiSalo
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Pisa
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FeralpiSalo Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
40%
25%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
19 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FeralpiSalo 18. · Pisa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 Venezia 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Palermo 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Modena 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Catanzaro 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +2 8
8 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Bari 5 1 4 0 +1 7
10 Como 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Pisa 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Reggiana 5 0 3 2 -3 3
15 Ascoli 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Ternana 5 0 1 4 -4 1
17 Spezia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 FeralpiSalo 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FeralpiSalo Pisa
16′
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
Christos Kourfalidis 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
46′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ A. Calabresi
Vittorio Parigini 🟨
54′
D. Hergheligiu 🔁
↦ C. Kourfalidis
58′
67′
S. Canestrelli 0–1
Miguel Veloso
72′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ S. Moreo
M. Compagnon 🔁
↦ L. Fiordilino
73′
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ D. Di Molfetta
73′
76′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ M. Marin
76′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ M. Valoti
Semuel Pizzignacco 🟨
77′
84′
🔁 A. Caracciolo
↦ E. Vignato
M. Sau 🔁
↦ B. Martella
88′
M. Tonetto 🔁
↦ G. Letizia
88′
94′
🟨 Idrissa Touré
95′
🟨 Jan Mlakar
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FeralpiSalo

4-3-3
1 S. Pizzignacco G
94 G. Letizia D
19 A. Pilati D
6 L. Bacchetti D
87 B. Martella D
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
8 D. Balestrero M
70 V. Parigini F
9 K. Butić F
10 D. Di Molfetta F
Bench (11)
27 D. Hergheligiu
14 M. Compagnon
91 A. La Mantia
25 M. Sau
3 M. Tonetto
23 L. Ceppitelli
61 G. Volpe
34 S. Minelli
20 M. Zennaro
66 F. Bergonzi
99 A. Pietrelli

Coach: S. Vecchi

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
5 S. Canestrelli D
3 M. Leverbe D
20 P. Beruatto D
8 M. Marin M
44 Miguel Veloso M
17 J. Mlakar M
27 M. Valoti M
23 E. Vignato M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
42 T. Barbieri
28 A. Arena
15 I. Touré
36 G. Piccinini
4 A. Caracciolo
26 G. Masucci
22 L. Loria
19 Tomás Esteves
24 R. Jureškin
51 A. Barberis
10 E. Torregrossa
6 H. Hermannsson

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,10
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.