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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Girona
U S S S S
5–3
Full-time
Mallorca
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

3,22 xG 1,79
56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 4. · Mallorca 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +7 +4.1 15
2 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 +9 +7.3 13
3 Ath Bilbao 6 4 1 1 +7 +5.6 13
4 Girona 5 4 1 0 +7 +1.9 13
5 Valencia 5 3 0 2 +3 +2.4 9
6 Vallecano 5 3 0 2 -2 +1.0 9
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +6 +2.9 7
8 Cadiz 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
9 Getafe 5 2 1 2 -2 -3.1 7
10 Betis 5 2 1 2 -5 -3.9 7
11 Sociedad 5 1 3 1 +1 +0.7 6
12 Osasuna 5 2 0 3 -1 -1.3 6
13 Villarreal 5 2 0 3 -2 -2.2 6
14 Alaves 6 2 0 4 -4 -2.7 6
15 Mallorca 5 1 2 2 -1 -0.5 5
16 Celta 5 1 1 3 -3 -0.6 4
17 Sevilla 4 1 0 3 -2 -0.8 3
18 Granada 5 1 0 4 -7 -6.3 3
19 Las Palmas 5 0 2 3 -3 -2.5 2
20 Almeria 5 0 1 4 -6 -0.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Mallorca
4′
Vedat Muriqi 0–1
1–1 David López
Daley Blind
26′
Yangel Herrera ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
31′
🟨 Jaume Costa
31′
🟨 Samuel Costa
2–1 Artem Dovbyk
33′
33′
🟨 Manu Morlanes
3–1 Iván Martín
Sávio
37′
38′
🟨 Dani Rodríguez
4–1 Yangel Herrera
45′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 Amath Ndiaye
↦ Siebe Van Der Heyden
5–1 Sávio
Artem Dovbyk
57′
Portu 🔁
↦ Viktor Tsygankov
61′
Cristhian Stuani 🔁
↦ Artem Dovbyk
61′
Juanpe 🔁
↦ Eric García
65′
65′
🔁 Cyle Larin
↦ Manu Morlanes
65′
🔁 Toni Lato
↦ Jaume Costa
Valery Fernández 🔁
↦ Yangel Herrera
74′
Pablo Torre 🔁
↦ Sávio
75′
78′
🔁 Abdón Prats
↦ Vedat Muriqi
78′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ Samuel Costa
Iván Martín 🟨
79′
88′
Abdón Prats 5–2
91′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
95′
Abdón Prats 5–3
Sergi Darder
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Girona

4-1-4-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga G
20 Yan Couto D
25 Eric García D
5 David López D
17 Daley Blind D
14 Aleix García M
8 Viktor Tsygankov M
21 Yangel Herrera M
23 Iván Martín M
16 Sávio M
9 Artem Dovbyk F
Bench (11)
24 Portu
7 Cristhian Stuani
15 Juanpe
11 Valery Fernández
18 Pablo Torre
1 Juan Carlos
26 Toni Fuidias
4 Arnau Martínez
3 Miguel Gutiérrez
22 Jhon Solís
6 Ibrahima Kébé

Coach: Míchel

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 Predrag Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 Martin Valjent D
2 Matija Nastasić D
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden D
11 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
8 Manu Morlanes M
12 Samuel Costa M
10 Sergi Darder M
7 Vedat Muriqi F
Bench (12)
23 Amath Ndiaye
3 Toni Lato
17 Cyle Larin
18 Antonio Sánchez
9 Abdón Prats
13 Dominik Greif
25 Iván Cuéllar
6 José Copete
20 Giovanni González
27 David López
26 Ruben Quintanilla
19 Javi Llabrés

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,38
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.