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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Dundee
U T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 9. · Kilmarnock 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 St Mirren 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Hearts 5 2 1 2 +2 7
6 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Livingston 6 1 3 2 -6 6
8 Kilmarnock 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Dundee 5 1 2 2 -3 5
10 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Aberdeen 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 ST Johnstone 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Kilmarnock
1–0 A. Bakayoko
J. Shaughnessy
16′
28′
ℹ️ Marley Watkins
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
D. Armstrong 1–1
Josh Mulligan 🟥
34′
Josh Mulligan ℹ️
VAR:
35′
36′
🔁 A. Dallas
↦ M. Watkins
39′
🟨 Robbie Deas
Half-time 1–1
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
46′
46′
🔁 T. Davies
↦ R. Deas
60′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
Z. Rudden 🔁
↦ Z. Robinson
63′
Zak Rudden 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ B. Lyons
C. Kerr 🔁
↦ J. McGhee
77′
81′
D. Armstrong 1–2
A. Dallas
L. Cameron 🔁
↦ L. McCowan
86′
87′
🟨 Joe Wright
89′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Armstrong
2–2 Z. Rudden
R. Lamie
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dundee

4-3-3
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
12 R. Lamie D
3 O. Beck D
15 J. Mulligan M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
16 Z. Robinson F
9 A. Bakayoko F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
19 F. Robertson
20 Z. Rudden
2 C. Kerr
10 L. Cameron
14 L. Ashcroft
32 M. Lewis
1 A. Legzdiņš
11 D. Pineda
28 M. Sylla

Coach: T. Docherty

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
16 K. Magennis M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
21 A. Dallas
19 T. Davies
31 L. Polworth
7 R. McKenzie
15 F. Murray
18 I. Cameron
12 D. Watson
14 J. Sanders
20 K. O'Hara

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,24
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.