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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Hatayspor
U S T U T
0–3
Full-time
Samsunspor
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,26 xG 2,12
54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Samsunspor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +9 +5.7 10
2 Galatasaray 3 3 0 0 +6 +2.3 9
3 Eyüpspor 4 2 2 0 +4 +0.1 8
4 Buyuksehyr 3 2 1 0 +5 -0.8 7
5 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
6 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +2 -1.4 6
7 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.7 5
8 Sivasspor 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.6 4
9 Konyaspor 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.5 4
10 Antalyaspor 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.4 4
11 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 -5 +0.4 4
12 Gaziantep 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
13 Samsunspor 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.7 3
14 Bodrumspor 4 1 0 3 -4 +2.0 3
15 Trabzonspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.1 2
16 Alanyaspor 4 0 2 2 -5 +0.8 2
17 Kayserispor 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
18 Hatayspor 3 0 1 2 -2 -4.4 1
19 Ad. Demirspor 4 0 1 3 -6 -1.9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Samsunspor
17′
🟨 Youssef Aït Bennasser
37′
A. Muja 0–1
C. Holse
Half-time 0–1
G. Sağlam 🔁
↦ A. Hodžić
46′
R. Rivas 🔁
↦ F. Bamgboye
46′
46′
🔁 C. Yüksel
↦ Y. Bennasser
51′
M. Mouandilmadji 0–2
A. Muja
J. Okoronkwo 🔁
↦ A. Parmak
56′
59′
🟨 Marc Bola
Rui Pedro 🔁
↦ Joelson Fernandes
74′
75′
Olivier Ntcham
penalty missed
75′
O. Ntcham 0–3
77′
🔁 L. Dimata
↦ Z. Yavru
84′
🔁 S. Aydoğdu
↦ A. Muja
84′
🔁 S. Gönül
↦ O. Ntcham
90′
🔁 G. Laura
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-5-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
2 K. Çörekçi D
15 B. Yılmaz D
27 C. Demir D
88 C. Sertel D
7 F. Bamgboye M
18 A. Hodžić M
17 L. Diack M
6 A. Parmak M
77 Joelson Fernandes M
10 C. Strandberg F
Bench (9)
5 G. Sağlam
99 R. Rivas
11 J. Okoronkwo
14 Rui Pedro
22 K. Alıcı
31 O. Matur
34 D. Sarıcalı
16 S. Temel
12 V. Bekaj

Coach: Ö. Pulat

Samsunspor

4-1-4-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
4 R. van Drongelen D
16 M. Bola D
6 Y. Bennasser M
17 K. Schindler M
21 C. Holse M
10 O. Ntcham M
7 A. Muja M
9 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (10)
5 C. Yüksel
14 L. Dimata
8 S. Aydoğdu
28 S. Gönül
27 G. Laura
20 M. Özbaskıcı
45 H. Yeral
72 H. Tan
96 B. Çetin
29 E. Kara

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,28
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.