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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergün
Alanyaspor
U U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,62 xG 0,75
57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 17. · Hatayspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 5 4 1 0 +11 +6.3 13
2 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 +11 +5.4 12
3 Buyuksehyr 4 3 1 0 +6 +0.8 10
4 Besiktas 3 3 0 0 +6 +3.4 9
5 Eyüpspor 5 2 3 0 +4 +1.4 9
6 Konyaspor 5 2 1 2 -1 -0.6 7
7 Sivasspor 5 2 1 2 -1 -4.6 7
8 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +2 -1.4 6
9 Samsunspor 4 2 0 2 +1 +2.7 6
10 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.1 5
11 Antalyaspor 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.4 4
12 Rizespor 5 1 1 3 -10 -2.7 4
13 Gaziantep 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.4 3
14 Bodrumspor 5 1 0 4 -5 +0.4 3
15 Trabzonspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.1 2
16 Kayserispor 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.8 2
17 Alanyaspor 4 0 2 2 -5 +0.8 2
18 Hatayspor 4 0 1 3 -5 -6.3 1
19 Ad. Demirspor 4 0 1 3 -6 -1.9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
Jure Balkovec 🟨
20′
Gaius Makouta 🟨
28′
Nuno Lima 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 V. Aboubakar
↦ C. Strandberg
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
61′
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
61′
Juan Christian 🔁
↦ Loide Augusto
71′
75′
🟨 Chandrel Massanga
77′
🔁 B. Boutobba
↦ Joelson Fernandes
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ Y. Özdemir
79′
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ G. Makouta
79′
87′
🔁 C. Demir
↦ C. Sertel
87′
🔁 F. Bamgboye
↦ R. Rivas
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadergjonaj D
3 Nuno Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
29 J. Balkovec D
25 Richard M
42 G. Makouta M
27 Loide Augusto M
7 E. Karaca M
88 Y. Özdemir M
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (10)
9 S. Córdova
10 S. Dursun
70 Juan Christian
11 Rony Lopes
17 N. Janvier
20 F. Aksoy
99 Y. Karagöz
21 B. Bulut
22 B. Çeken
23 M. Bayram

Coach: F. Tekke

Hatayspor

4-1-4-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
2 K. Çörekçi D
3 G. Kilama D
4 F. Calvo D
88 C. Sertel D
8 C. Massanga M
77 Joelson Fernandes M
5 G. Sağlam M
17 L. Diack M
99 R. Rivas M
10 C. Strandberg F
Bench (10)
9 V. Aboubakar
98 B. Boutobba
27 C. Demir
7 F. Bamgboye
6 A. Parmak
14 Rui Pedro
22 K. Alıcı
15 B. Yılmaz
12 V. Bekaj
16 S. Temel

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U ✓
3,72
B
4,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Ergün · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.