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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Goztep

U U S S T

3–2

Full-time

Sivasspor

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,46 xG 0,85

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goztep 8. · Sivasspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+15	+3.7	19
2	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+11	+9.9	16
3	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+10	+5.8	16
4	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+4.5	15
5	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.3	13
6	Eyüpspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.9	12
7	Bodrumspor	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.3	10
8	Goztep	6	2	3	1	+4	-0.7	9
9	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	-2	+1.4	9
10	Trabzonspor	6	1	5	0	+1	-1.5	8
11	Kasimpasa	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.5	8
12	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.3	8
13	Sivasspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-5.0	8
14	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-4.9	8
15	Rizespor	8	2	1	5	-11	-3.8	7
16	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-4	-1.1	4
17	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-7	-3.7	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+8	+6.5	10
2	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
3	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.7	7
4	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
5	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
6	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
7	Bodrumspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.9	6
8	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
10	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.3	6
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
12	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
13	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
14	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-3	+1.0	3
15	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
18	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+4.8	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
3	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
4	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
5	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.2	7
6	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
8	Eyüpspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
9	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
10	Bodrumspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.6	4
11	Trabzonspor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.4	3
12	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
13	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
15	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.