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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

FC Koln

S S T U U

2–0

Full-time

Ulm

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 86%

100%

71%

Both score Ø 79%

86%

71%

Average goals

4,4

2,6

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

21 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 0

9 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match FC Koln 8. · Ulm 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Paderborn	8	4	4	0	+7	16
3	Karlsruhe	8	4	4	0	+5	16
4	Magdeburg	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Hannover	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+8	12
7	Hertha	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	FC Koln	7	2	3	2	+5	9
9	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
10	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Kaiserslautern	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Ulm	7	2	1	4	+0	7
13	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	Darmstadt	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Preußen Münster	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-12	4
18	Regensburg	8	1	1	6	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Karlsruhe	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Hamburg	4	2	2	0	+8	8
5	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	+3	4
8	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Magdeburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Ulm	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preußen Münster	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Paderborn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Karlsruhe	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Ulm	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Preußen Münster	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	Regensburg	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.