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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Hatayspor
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,06 xG 1,38
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Trabzonspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 7 6 1 0 +15 +3.7 19
2 Fenerbahce 7 5 1 1 +11 +9.9 16
3 Besiktas 6 5 1 0 +10 +5.8 16
4 Samsunspor 7 5 0 2 +5 +4.5 15
5 Buyuksehyr 6 4 1 1 +5 +0.3 13
6 Goztep 7 3 3 1 +5 -0.1 12
7 Eyüpspor 7 3 3 1 +4 +1.9 12
8 Bodrumspor 8 3 1 4 -2 +0.3 10
9 Alanyaspor 7 2 3 2 -2 +1.4 9
10 Trabzonspor 6 1 5 0 +1 -1.5 8
11 Kasimpasa 8 1 5 2 -2 +2.5 8
12 Konyaspor 7 2 2 3 -2 -0.3 8
13 Sivasspor 8 2 2 4 -3 -5.6 8
14 Antalyaspor 8 2 2 4 -6 -4.9 8
15 Rizespor 8 2 1 5 -11 -3.8 7
16 Gaziantep 6 1 1 4 -4 -1.1 4
17 Kayserispor 6 0 3 3 -7 -3.7 3
18 Hatayspor 6 0 2 4 -6 -6.1 2
19 Ad. Demirspor 7 0 1 6 -11 -3.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Trabzonspor
1–0 G. Sağlam
V. Aboubakar
14′
Görkem Sağlam 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Cham
↦ O. Yokuşlu
48′
S. Banza 1–1
D. Drăguș
50′
🟨 John Lundstram
53′
🟨 Serdar Saatçı
Joelson Fernandes 🔁
↦ R. Rivas
64′
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ Rui Pedro
65′
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi 🟨
70′
Funsho Bamgboye 🟨
71′
C. Strandberg 🔁
↦ F. Bamgboye
73′
73′
🔁 M. Oršić
↦ E. Višća
73′
🔁 U. Güneş
↦ E. Bardhi
85′
🔁 A. Yılmaz
↦ S. Saatçı
91′
🟨 Simon Banza
Recep Burak Yılmaz 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Eren Elmalı
94′
🟨 Denis Drăguş
96′
🟨 Ali Şahin Yılmaz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
2 K. Çörekçi D
3 G. Kilama D
4 F. Calvo D
88 C. Sertel D
5 G. Sağlam M
17 L. Diack M
7 F. Bamgboye M
14 Rui Pedro M
99 R. Rivas M
9 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (10)
77 Joelson Fernandes
15 B. Yılmaz
10 C. Strandberg
16 S. Temel
31 O. Matur
11 J. Okoronkwo
22 K. Alıcı
12 V. Bekaj
27 C. Demir
98 B. Boutobba

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
29 S. Saatçı D
6 B. Mendy D
18 E. Elmalı D
35 O. Yokuşlu M
7 E. Višća M
8 E. Bardhi M
5 J. Lundstram M
70 D. Drăguș M
17 S. Banza F
Bench (10)
10 M. Cham
99 M. Oršić
23 U. Güneş
84 A. Yılmaz
54 T. Tepe
88 A. Yıldırım
90 P. Yıldırım
3 B. Barišić
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
77 A. Boşluk

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,63
U ✓
3,28
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.