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Süper Lig
Referee: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe
Antalyaspor
T T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Goztep
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
31%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
54%
23%
Both score Ø 39%
54%
23%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,38 xG 0,91
50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 13. · Goztep 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 13 10 2 1 +20 +17.0 32
2 Fenerbahce 13 9 4 0 +18 +17.7 31
3 Trabzonspor 14 9 4 1 +13 +2.3 31
4 Samsunspor 13 6 6 1 +7 +8.1 24
5 Goztep 13 6 5 2 +9 +3.1 23
6 Gaziantep 14 6 4 4 -1 +0.4 22
7 Besiktas 13 6 3 4 +5 +10.6 21
8 Kocaelispor 14 5 3 6 -3 -2.1 18
9 Buyuksehyr 14 4 4 6 +3 -1.8 16
10 Alanyaspor 13 3 6 4 -1 -5.1 15
11 Konyaspor 14 4 3 7 -4 -3.2 15
12 Rizespor 14 3 5 6 -6 -1.1 14
13 Antalyaspor 13 4 2 7 -10 -9.2 14
14 Kasimpasa 14 3 4 7 -7 -7.3 13
15 Eyüpspor 14 3 3 8 -8 -4.3 12
16 Kayserispor 14 2 6 6 -17 -9.0 12
17 Genclerbirligi 14 3 2 9 -7 -9.4 11
18 Karagumruk 13 2 2 9 -11 -6.5 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Goztep
1–0 V. Sari
R. Safuri
40′
Half-time 1–1
48′
T. Altikardes 1–1
E. Bekiroglu
52′
Juan Santos 1–2
A. Cherni
L. Giannetti 🔁
↦ R. Safuri
57′
P. Yildirim 🔁
↦ A. Omur
57′
D. Saric 🔁
↦ N. Storm
71′
75′
🔁 J. Olaitan
↦ E. Bekiroglu
80′
🟨 Héliton
S. van de Streek 🔁
↦ K. Paal
86′
89′
🔁 Allan Godoi
↦ Juan Santos
90′
🟨 Janderson
93′
🔁 O. Bayrak
↦ A. Kurtulan
93′
🔁 I. Koybasi
↦ A. Cherni
93′
🔁 A. Ildiz
↦ A. Dennis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
21 A. Yigiter G
7 B. Balci D
89 V. Sari D
4 H. Turkmen D
2 S. Karakoc D
23 J. Ceesay M
3 K. Paal M
10 A. Omur M
8 R. Safuri M
26 N. Storm M
77 Y. Boli F
Bench (10)
96 K. Arican
30 L. Giannetti
27 E. B. Tivsiz
5 B. Ozturk
98 E. Izmirli
22 S. van de Streek
88 D. Saric
24 B. Gueye
70 D. Sinik
99 P. Yildirim

Coach: Emre Belözoğlu

Goztep

3-4-1-2
1 M. Lis G
4 T. Altikardes D
5 Heliton D
26 M. Bokele D
2 A. Kurtulan M
30 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
15 A. Cherni M
11 E. Bekiroglu F
9 Juan Santos F
39 Janderson F
Bench (9)
17 E. Kilicarslan
77 O. Bayrak
3 Allan Godoi
12 I. Koybasi
13 Ruan Teixeira
8 A. Ildiz
10 J. Olaitan
6 Rhaldney
24 S. Bouajila

Coach: Stanimir Kolev Stoilov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
U
3,20
B ✓
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.