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La Liga

Referee: César Soto Grado

Sociedad

S S S U S

2–3

Full-time

Villarreal

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

31%

69%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 62%

77%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,02 xG 1,51

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	1	2	+23	+12.2	34
2	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+16	+16.6	32
3	Ath Madrid	14	9	4	1	+16	+11.9	31
4	Villarreal	13	9	2	2	+15	+7.9	29
5	Betis	13	5	6	2	+6	+5.6	21
6	Espanol	13	6	3	4	+1	+5.5	21
7	Getafe	14	6	2	6	-2	-3.5	20
8	Ath Bilbao	14	6	2	6	-3	+5.6	20
9	Sociedad	13	4	4	5	-1	+1.2	16
10	Sevilla	13	5	1	7	-2	-9.6	16
11	Celta	13	3	7	3	-2	-2.0	16
12	Elche	14	3	7	4	-2	-5.2	16
13	Vallecano	13	4	4	5	-2	+1.2	16
14	Alaves	14	4	3	7	-3	+1.1	15
15	Mallorca	14	3	4	7	-7	-10.8	13
16	Valencia	13	3	4	6	-9	-4.9	13
17	Osasuna	14	3	3	8	-6	-3.7	12
18	Girona	13	2	5	6	-13	-9.4	11
19	Levante	14	2	3	9	-10	-5.4	9
20	Oviedo	14	2	3	9	-15	-14.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+14	+12.1	22
2	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+19	+9.9	21
3	Villarreal	7	6	1	0	+14	+6.9	19
4	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	+9.9	18
5	Espanol	8	5	1	2	+2	+2.2	16
6	Betis	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.1	13
7	Elche	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.4	13
8	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+2	+7.4	13
9	Valencia	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.6	11
10	Alaves	7	3	2	2	+2	+2.5	11
11	Getafe	7	3	2	2	+2	-2.8	11
12	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	+3.1	10
13	Osasuna	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.7	10
14	Mallorca	7	2	4	1	-1	-3.4	10
15	Girona	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.3	8
16	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.4	7
17	Vallecano	5	1	3	1	+0	+2.1	6
18	Celta	7	0	5	2	-4	-0.1	5
19	Oviedo	7	1	2	4	-8	-8.6	5
20	Levante	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+5	+6.6	14
2	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.3	13
3	Celta	6	3	2	1	+2	-1.9	11
4	Villarreal	6	3	1	2	+1	+1.1	10
5	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-2	-0.9	10
6	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.1	9
7	Sevilla	7	3	0	4	-2	-8.2	9
8	Getafe	7	3	0	4	-4	-0.7	9
9	Betis	6	1	5	0	+1	+1.4	8
10	Levante	8	2	2	4	+0	+1.2	8
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.8	7
12	Sociedad	7	1	3	3	-2	-2.0	6
13	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-1	+3.3	5
14	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.5	4
15	Oviedo	7	1	1	5	-7	-5.7	4
16	Mallorca	7	1	0	6	-6	-7.4	3
17	Elche	7	0	3	4	-6	-5.6	3
18	Girona	6	0	3	3	-7	-4.2	3
19	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-7	-4.3	2
20	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-12	-8.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.