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LaLiga2

Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Castellon

T S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Las Palmas

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

53%

33%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,9

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 0,49

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 8. · Las Palmas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	16	9	5	2	+17	+2.8	32
2	Santander	16	10	2	4	+14	+0.9	32
3	Almeria	16	8	5	3	+10	+0.4	29
4	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+9	+1.2	29
5	Burgos	16	7	4	5	+6	+1.5	25
6	Cadiz	16	6	6	4	-1	-1.5	24
7	Ceuta	16	7	3	6	-3	-3.2	24
8	Castellon	15	6	4	5	+3	+2.4	22
9	Valladolid	16	5	6	5	+2	+3.9	21
10	Cordoba	16	5	6	5	-1	-0.7	21
11	Sp Gijon	16	6	3	7	-3	+0.0	21
12	Cultural Leonesa	16	6	2	8	-3	-4.7	20
13	Malaga	16	5	4	7	-1	-1.3	19
14	Granada	16	4	7	5	-2	+0.9	19
15	Albacete	16	5	4	7	-5	-0.7	19
16	Huesca	16	5	4	7	-5	+1.3	19
17	Sociedad B	16	5	3	8	-2	+0.7	18
18	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-2	+2.7	18
19	Andorra	16	4	6	6	-6	-1.3	18
20	Eibar	16	4	5	7	-5	-1.1	17
21	Mirandes	16	4	3	9	-9	-0.9	15
22	Zaragoza	16	4	3	9	-13	-3.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	9	6	1	2	+11	+0.4	19
2	Sociedad B	8	5	3	0	+8	+0.4	18
3	Ceuta	8	6	0	2	+5	-0.4	18
4	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+8	+2.5	17
5	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+5	+0.5	16
6	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+9	+2.4	15
7	Malaga	8	4	3	1	+7	-1.1	15
8	Eibar	8	4	3	1	+6	+1.8	15
9	Huesca	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.0	15
10	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+2	+0.5	15
11	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+1	+0.6	14
12	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	+3	+3.8	12
13	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.1	12
14	Castellon	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.7	11
15	Cordoba	8	3	2	3	-1	-1.2	11
16	Albacete	8	3	1	4	-4	-0.2	10
17	Granada	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.3	9
18	Andorra	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-3	+0.3	8
20	Zaragoza	8	2	2	4	-8	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-4	+2.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	9	5	2	2	+8	+0.4	17
2	Las Palmas	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.7	13
3	Santander	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.5	13
4	Burgos	8	4	1	3	+3	-0.6	13
5	Leganes	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.2	13
6	Almeria	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.1	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	4	0	4	+0	-5.0	12
8	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.7	11
9	Cordoba	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.5	10
10	Granada	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.4	10
11	Cadiz	8	2	4	2	-2	-2.1	10
12	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.5	9
13	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	+0.1	9
14	Andorra	9	2	3	4	-6	-0.7	9
15	Mirandes	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.5	8
16	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.4	6
18	Ceuta	8	1	3	4	-8	-2.8	6
19	Malaga	8	1	1	6	-8	-0.1	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-9	+1.3	4
21	Eibar	8	0	2	6	-11	-2.9	2
22	Sociedad B	8	0	0	8	-10	+0.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.