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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Celta

S S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Espanol

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

23%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

31%

54%

Both score Ø 70%

85%

54%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 0,38

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 10. · Espanol 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	1	2	+23	+12.2	34
2	Villarreal	14	10	2	2	+16	+8.4	32
3	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+16	+16.6	32
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	4	1	+16	+11.9	31
5	Betis	14	6	6	2	+8	+6.3	24
6	Espanol	13	6	3	4	+1	+5.5	21
7	Getafe	14	6	2	6	-2	-3.5	20
8	Ath Bilbao	14	6	2	6	-3	+5.6	20
9	Sociedad	14	4	4	6	-2	+0.7	16
10	Celta	13	3	7	3	-2	-2.0	16
11	Elche	14	3	7	4	-2	-5.2	16
12	Vallecano	13	4	4	5	-2	+1.2	16
13	Sevilla	14	5	1	8	-4	-10.3	16
14	Alaves	14	4	3	7	-3	+1.1	15
15	Mallorca	14	3	4	7	-7	-10.8	13
16	Valencia	13	3	4	6	-9	-4.9	13
17	Osasuna	14	3	3	8	-6	-3.7	12
18	Girona	13	2	5	6	-13	-9.4	11
19	Levante	14	2	3	9	-10	-5.4	9
20	Oviedo	14	2	3	9	-15	-14.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+14	+12.1	22
2	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+19	+9.9	21
3	Villarreal	7	6	1	0	+14	+6.9	19
4	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	+9.9	18
5	Espanol	8	5	1	2	+2	+2.2	16
6	Betis	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.1	13
7	Elche	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.4	13
8	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+2	+7.4	13
9	Valencia	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.6	11
10	Alaves	7	3	2	2	+2	+2.5	11
11	Getafe	7	3	2	2	+2	-2.8	11
12	Osasuna	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.7	10
13	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	+2.7	10
14	Mallorca	7	2	4	1	-1	-3.4	10
15	Girona	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.3	8
16	Sevilla	7	2	1	4	-2	-2.1	7
17	Vallecano	5	1	3	1	+0	+2.1	6
18	Celta	7	0	5	2	-4	-0.1	5
19	Oviedo	7	1	2	4	-8	-8.6	5
20	Levante	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+5	+6.6	14
2	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.3	13
3	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+2	+1.5	13
4	Betis	7	2	5	0	+3	+2.2	11
5	Celta	6	3	2	1	+2	-1.9	11
6	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-2	-0.9	10
7	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.1	9
8	Sevilla	7	3	0	4	-2	-8.2	9
9	Getafe	7	3	0	4	-4	-0.7	9
10	Levante	8	2	2	4	+0	+1.2	8
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.8	7
12	Sociedad	7	1	3	3	-2	-2.0	6
13	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-1	+3.3	5
14	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.5	4
15	Oviedo	7	1	1	5	-7	-5.7	4
16	Mallorca	7	1	0	6	-6	-7.4	3
17	Elche	7	0	3	4	-6	-5.6	3
18	Girona	6	0	3	3	-7	-4.2	3
19	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-7	-4.3	2
20	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-12	-8.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.