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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Aarhus

S S U T S

2–0

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 69%

69%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 1. · FC Copenhagen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	10	4	2	+15	+14.5	34
2	Midtjylland	16	9	5	2	+21	+1.5	32
3	Brondby	16	10	1	5	+13	+8.7	31
4	FC Copenhagen	16	8	4	4	+8	+13.4	28
5	Sonderjyske	17	7	5	5	+3	-1.9	26
6	Viborg	17	7	2	8	+2	-2.2	23
7	Nordsjaelland	16	7	0	9	-2	-0.7	21
8	Odense	16	5	5	6	-10	+3.4	20
9	Randers FC	16	5	3	8	-6	+1.0	18
10	Silkeborg	16	5	3	8	-9	-10.5	18
11	Fredericia	16	3	2	11	-22	-16.2	11
12	Vejle	16	2	4	10	-13	-11.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	+13	+5.1	18
2	Sonderjyske	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.8	17
3	Brondby	8	5	1	2	+7	+4.3	16
4	Aarhus	8	5	1	2	+6	+13.4	16
5	FC Copenhagen	8	3	4	1	+3	+9.1	13
6	Viborg	8	4	0	4	+2	-2.9	12
7	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	+2	+3.6	12
8	Randers FC	8	3	2	3	-3	-1.1	11
9	Odense	8	3	2	3	-4	+4.3	11
10	Silkeborg	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.0	10
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	8	2	1	5	-10	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+9	+1.1	18
2	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+6	+4.4	15
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	0	3	+5	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	8	4	2	2	+8	-3.6	14
5	Viborg	9	3	2	4	+0	+0.7	11
6	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.8	9
7	Nordsjaelland	8	3	0	5	-4	-4.3	9
8	Odense	8	2	3	3	-6	-0.9	9
9	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
10	Randers FC	8	2	1	5	-3	+2.1	7
11	Fredericia	8	1	1	6	-12	-9.8	4
12	Vejle	8	0	2	6	-12	-7.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.