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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Magnus Nicolai Koløy

Kongsvinger

S S S T U

4–5

Full-time

Aalesund

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,0

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

48%

52%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

72%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

55%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 5. · Aalesund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	30	25	5	0	+69	80
2	Aalesund	29	15	10	4	+27	55
3	Start	30	16	7	7	+23	55
4	Egersund	30	15	7	8	+12	52
5	Kongsvinger	29	14	9	6	+16	51
6	Lyn	30	14	5	11	+11	47
7	Ranheim	30	13	6	11	-2	45
8	Sogndal	30	12	7	11	+1	43
9	Odd	30	8	9	13	-13	33
10	hodd	30	8	9	13	-18	33
11	Stabaek	30	7	10	13	-8	31
12	Asane	30	7	10	13	-15	31
13	Moss	32	8	7	17	-24	31
14	Raufoss	30	7	9	14	-13	30
15	Mjondalen	30	6	7	17	-35	25
16	Skeid	30	2	9	19	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	15	13	2	0	+32	41
2	Aalesund	15	11	4	0	+26	37
3	Start	15	9	1	5	+13	28
4	Kongsvinger	14	8	3	3	+11	27
5	Moss	16	8	3	5	+2	27
6	Egersund	15	7	5	3	+3	26
7	Ranheim	15	7	3	5	+0	24
8	Odd	15	6	4	5	-4	22
9	Sogndal	15	5	5	5	-3	20
10	Lyn	15	5	4	6	-1	19
11	hodd	15	5	4	6	-3	19
12	Asane	15	4	6	5	-3	18
13	Stabaek	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	Raufoss	15	4	4	7	-2	16
15	Mjondalen	15	2	5	8	-19	11
16	Skeid	15	1	5	9	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	15	12	3	0	+37	39
2	Lyn	15	9	1	5	+12	28
3	Start	15	7	6	2	+10	27
4	Egersund	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Kongsvinger	15	6	6	3	+5	24
6	Sogndal	15	7	2	6	+4	23
7	Ranheim	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Aalesund	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Stabaek	15	3	5	7	-6	14
10	Raufoss	15	3	5	7	-11	14
11	hodd	15	3	5	7	-15	14
12	Mjondalen	15	4	2	9	-16	14
13	Asane	15	3	4	8	-12	13
14	Odd	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Skeid	15	1	4	10	-13	7
16	Moss	16	0	4	12	-26	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.