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Super League
Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis
Panetolikos
S U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 10. · Olympiakos 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 1 1 +20 31
2 AEK 12 9 1 2 +6 28
3 PAOK 11 8 2 1 +16 26
4 Levadeiakos 12 6 4 2 +15 22
5 Volos NFC 13 7 0 6 -2 21
6 Panathinaikos 11 5 4 2 +6 19
7 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 4 4 -2 16
8 Aris 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Kifisia 13 4 3 6 -2 15
10 Panetolikos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 13 2 6 5 -3 12
12 OFI Crete 12 4 0 8 -8 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 13 1 4 8 -12 7
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Jan -25 Panetolikos – Olympiakos 0–2 15. Sep -24 Olympiakos – Panetolikos 0–0 28. Feb -24 Panetolikos – Olympiakos 1–2 25. Nov -23 Olympiakos – Panetolikos 3–1 13. Feb -23 Olympiakos – Panetolikos 6–1

Match report

Panetolikos Olympiakos
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Kalogeropoulos
↦ P. Retsos
K. Aleksic 🔁
↦ J. Aguirre
46′
59′
🔁 Rodinei
↦ Costinha
59′
🔁 C. Mouzakitis
↦ D. Nascimento
59′
🔁 Y. Yazici
↦ G. Strefezza
M. Luis 🔁
↦ S. Kontouris
61′
70′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 0–1
J. Chura 🔁
↦ L. Smyrlis
75′
80′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ R. Yaremchuk
G. Agapakis 🔁
↦ C. Mavrias
83′
E. Nikolaou 🔁
↦ Esteban Diego
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chaves G
35 C. Mavrias D
28 L. Kojic
4 U. Garcia D
15 C. Manrique D
6 S. Kontouris M
41 A. Bouchalakis M
22 Esteban Diego
10 A. Matan M
7 L. Smyrlis M
9 J. Aguirre
Bench (9)
1 M. Pardalos
12 Z. Zivkovic
3 C. Manos
8 C. Belevonis
14 K. Aleksic
20 J. Chura
23 G. Agapakis
77 E. Nikolaou
90 M. Luis

Coach: Giannis Petrakis

Olympiakos

4-4-1-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
39 Gustavo Mancha D
70 B. Onyemaechi D
10 G. Martins M
32 S. Hezze M
8 D. Nascimento M
27 G. Strefezza M
9 A. El Kaabi F
11 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
61 G. Kouraklis
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
21 R. Vezo
3 F. Ortega
5 L. Pirola
23 Rodinei
90 R. Cabella
14 D. Garcia
96 C. Mouzakitis
16 L. Scipioni
97 Y. Yazici

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar Etxebarria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,71
🔒
U
5,39
🔒
B ✓
1,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,63
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alexandros Tsakalidis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.