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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

Dender

S T S U S

1–5

Full-time

Club Brugge

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Club Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

73%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

54%

36%

Both score Ø 49%

62%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,07 xG 3,43

38% Possession 62%

6 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Club Brugge 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
3	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.4	25
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
5	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
6	Anderlecht	11	5	3	3	+3	+4.6	18
7	Waregem	13	5	3	5	+0	-7.5	18
8	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+0	-4.0	15
9	Westerlo	12	3	5	4	+0	+5.3	14
10	RAAL La Louviere	13	3	4	6	-5	-8.8	13
11	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-4	-2.5	12
13	Standard	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.2	12
14	Charleroi	12	3	2	7	-5	-1.4	11
15	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-6	+2.1	10
16	Dender	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Westerlo	5	2	2	1	+5	+5.3	8
7	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
8	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
9	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
10	Charleroi	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.2	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	+1	-0.7	5
14	Cercle Brugge	9	1	2	6	-5	+2.4	5
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	5	0	1	4	-6	-4.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
2	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.1	10
5	Standard	7	3	0	4	-5	-5.6	9
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Waregem	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
8	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
9	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
11	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
12	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
13	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	2	4	-4	-4.7	5
15	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.