Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

Austria Vienna

T S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

69%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,84 xG 0,65

46% Possession 54%

4 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 8. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	17	9	5	3	+15	+4.9	32
2	LASK	17	9	2	6	+3	+0.3	29
3	Sturm Graz	16	9	1	6	+6	+4.6	28
4	Hartberg	17	7	5	5	+4	-1.6	26
5	Ried	17	8	2	7	+0	+0.9	26
6	SK Rapid	17	7	4	6	+0	-1.0	25
7	Wolfsberger AC	17	7	3	7	+4	-2.7	24
8	Austria Vienna	16	7	2	7	-3	-1.8	23
9	Altach	17	5	6	6	-1	-1.6	21
10	Tirol	17	5	6	6	-2	+4.5	21
11	Grazer AK	17	3	6	8	-12	-2.8	15
12	BW Linz	17	3	2	12	-14	-3.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	5	2	2	+10	+3.2	17
2	LASK	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.7	16
3	Ried	9	4	2	3	+1	+1.7	14
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	1	4	+2	-0.1	13
5	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
6	Tirol	8	3	2	3	+1	+2.3	11
7	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.4	11
8	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	-1	-0.5	10
9	Grazer AK	9	2	4	3	-2	+0.9	10
10	Austria Vienna	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.4	10
11	BW Linz	9	2	1	6	-4	-1.6	7
12	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	+1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.6	21
2	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
3	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
4	SK Rapid	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.4	15
5	Austria Vienna	8	4	1	3	+2	-1.4	13
6	LASK	9	4	1	4	-1	+1.0	13
7	Ried	8	4	0	4	-1	-0.8	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.6	11
9	Tirol	9	2	4	3	-3	+2.3	10
10	Altach	9	2	2	5	-3	-3.7	8
11	Grazer AK	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.