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Eredivisie

Referee: E Blank

Willem II

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

3,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-2,5

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

2,9

4,9

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-1,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 14. · VVV Venlo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+27	21
2	Vitesse	8	7	0	1	+12	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+10	17
6	Heerenveen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Groningen	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	5	0	+6	11
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-3	9
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-13	8
12	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-5	7
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Willem II	8	1	2	5	-9	5
15	Waalwijk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Den Haag	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
13	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+16	9
3	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	FC Emmen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.