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LaLiga2

Vallecano

T S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Castellon

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

25%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

6 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

20 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 11. · Castellon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Mallorca	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Leganes	13	8	1	4	+4	25
4	Sp Gijon	12	7	2	3	+5	23
5	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Mirandes	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Lugo	13	6	1	6	+0	19
8	Fuenlabrada	12	4	6	2	+2	18
9	Girona	12	5	3	4	-2	18
10	Malaga	13	5	3	5	-7	18
11	Vallecano	12	5	2	5	+2	17
12	Logrones	11	5	2	4	+1	17
13	Las Palmas	12	4	5	3	+0	17
14	Oviedo	12	4	4	4	+2	16
15	Ponferradina	12	5	1	6	-4	16
16	Cartagena	13	4	3	6	-1	15
17	Tenerife	12	3	4	5	-3	13
18	Castellon	12	3	2	7	-6	11
19	Albacete	12	2	4	6	-6	10
20	Zaragoza	11	1	5	5	-4	8
21	Alcorcon	12	2	2	8	-8	8
22	Sabadell	11	2	1	8	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Espanol	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Sp Gijon	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Las Palmas	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Vallecano	5	4	0	1	+7	12
7	Mirandes	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Lugo	6	4	0	2	+3	12
9	Tenerife	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Cartagena	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Fuenlabrada	6	2	4	0	+3	10
12	Logrones	6	3	1	2	+1	10
13	Albacete	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+3	8
15	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Malaga	6	2	2	2	-2	8
17	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
18	Zaragoza	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	Ponferradina	6	2	1	3	-2	7
20	Alcorcon	7	2	1	4	-4	7
21	Castellon	6	2	0	4	-1	6
22	Sabadell	5	1	0	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	6	3	3	0	+4	12
2	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+2	12
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Girona	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	Malaga	7	3	1	3	-5	10
6	Sp Gijon	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Ponferradina	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Fuenlabrada	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Logrones	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Mirandes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Leganes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Lugo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Cartagena	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	Castellon	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Sabadell	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Las Palmas	6	0	4	2	-4	4
19	Tenerife	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Zaragoza	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Alcorcon	5	0	1	4	-4	1
22	Albacete	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.