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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Dundee United
T U U S U
2–1
Full-time
Hamilton
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,3
5,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
3,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,3
This season — Premiership · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 23%
29%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
43%
58%
Both score Ø 51%
43%
58%
Average goals
1,9
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 5. · Hamilton 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 12 2 0 +34 38
2 Celtic 12 9 2 1 +21 29
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 -3 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 12 2 1 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Hamilton
25′
🟨 Aaron Martin
27′
🟨 Hakeem Odofin
Calum Butcher 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
L. Shankland 🔁
↦ P. McMullan
53′
L. Bolton 🔁
↦ A. Spörle
53′
Jeando Fuchs 🟨
59′
I. Harkes 🔁
↦ J. Fuchs
60′
65′
R. Callachan 0–1
M. Ogkmpoe
J. Robson 🔁
↦ M. Reynolds
67′
1–1 N. Clark
L. Smith
76′
2–1 N. Clark
M. McNulty
80′
Nicky Clark 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Brian Easton
91′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ B. Easton
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

5-3-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
5 M. Connolly D
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith D
3 A. Spörle D
18 C. Butcher M
7 P. McMullan M
66 J. Fuchs M
10 N. Clark F
9 M. McNulty F
Bench (9)
24 L. Shankland
20 L. Bolton
23 I. Harkes
17 J. Robson
4 D. Powers
30 L. Neilson
25 K. Fotheringham
27 L. Appéré
19 D. Mehmet

Coach: M. Mellon

Hamilton

3-5-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
4 B. Stirling D
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
32 C. Smith F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (8)
20 D. Moyo
15 R. Hughes
6 J. Hamilton
21 K. Munro
22 K. Gourlay
17 G. Stanger
18 R. Mimnaugh
24 N. Thomas

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,83
B
4,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.