Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Olympiakos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | +52 | 71 |
| 2 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 |
Aris
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +18 | 51 |
| 4 |
AEK
|
28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 |
| 6 |
PAOK
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +22 | 48 |
| 7 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +2 | 46 |
| 8 |
Giannina
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 |
Volos NFC
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 |
Lamia
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 12 |
Apollon
|
29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 |
Panetolikos
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -23 | 21 |
| 14 |
OFI Crete
|
29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 |
Larisa
|
29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Larisa
Olympiakos
Olympiakos
Lamia
Volos NFC
Olympiakos
Olympiakos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos
Aris
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.