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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Ponferradina
U U U U T
0–3
Full-time
Cartagena
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
45%
Both score Ø 49%
52%
45%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 19. · Cartagena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 30 15 12 3 +20 57
2 Eibar 30 16 8 6 +10 56
3 Granada 30 16 6 8 +19 54
4 Levante 30 14 12 4 +13 54
5 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
6 Albacete 30 13 11 6 +7 50
7 Burgos 30 11 12 7 +6 45
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Huesca 30 9 13 8 +2 40
10 Leganes 30 10 10 10 +1 40
11 Mirandes 30 9 10 11 -3 37
12 Tenerife 30 9 10 11 -3 37
13 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
14 Andorra 30 10 6 14 +1 36
15 Sp Gijon 30 8 12 10 -3 36
16 Santander 30 9 9 12 -3 36
17 Zaragoza 30 8 11 11 -6 35
18 Oviedo 30 9 8 13 -6 35
19 Ponferradina 29 6 11 12 -11 29
20 Malaga 30 5 10 15 -11 25
21 Lugo 30 5 8 17 -21 23
22 Ibiza 30 5 8 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ponferradina Cartagena
13′
🟨 Ivan Calero
42′
Jairo Izquierdo 0–1
Pêpê Rodrigues
Half-time 1–1
51′
A. Pașcanu 1–1
own goal
Alexandru Paşcanu 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ Oscar Ureña
Derik Lacerda 🔁
↦ José Naranjo
68′
S. Chakla 🔁
↦ A. Pașcanu
68′
69′
🟨 Iván Martos
Ale Díez 🔁
↦ Paris Adot
74′
Moi Delgado 🔁
↦ Adrián Castellano
74′
76′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
76′
🔁 Mikel Rico
↦ Borja Valle
82′
A. Sadiku 1–2
Jairo Izquierdo
86′
🔁 Darío Poveda
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
86′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ P. De Blasis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ponferradina

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
5 José Amo D
15 Adrián Castellano D
34 Naim García M
11 K. Nwakali M
8 Agus Medina M
20 José Naranjo M
19 Edu Espiau F
10 Yuri F
Bench (8)
23 Derik Lacerda
6 S. Chakla
21 Ale Díez
16 Moi Delgado
35 Hugo Vallejo
26 Ibrahim Covi
13 Miguel San Román
24 S. Abdulai

Coach: David Gallego

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
3 Iván Martos D
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
8 P. De Blasis M
38 Oscar Ureña M
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (12)
24 I. Jansson
19 A. Sadiku
17 Mikel Rico
11 Darío Poveda
22 Y. Eteki
9 Alfredo Ortuño
26 José Mari
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
14 F. Feuillassier
15 Sangalli
1 Marc Martínez
2 Miguel Llambrich

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,08
B ✓
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.