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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Klitte

Malmo FF

S T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Degerfors

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 4. · Degerfors 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+5	12
4	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+12	9
5	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
7	Kalmar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
9	Degerfors	3	3	0	0	+5	9
10	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
11	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+3	9
12	Trollhättan	5	3	0	2	-2	9
13	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
14	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
15	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+3	7
16	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+9	6
17	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
20	Dalkurd FF	4	2	0	2	+1	6
21	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	Oskarshamns AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	6
25	Onsala	4	2	0	2	-5	6
26	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
27	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
28	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
29	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
30	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Brommapojkarna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
43	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
47	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
54	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
55	Jonkopings Sodra	4	1	0	3	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
8	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
26	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
27	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
28	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
34	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
46	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Landskrona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Orebro SK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Oskarshamns AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
43	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.