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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Toulouse
S S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Clermont
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,3
1,3
Scored
2,5
0,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
36%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
72%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 0,77
51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 4
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Toulouse 11. · Clermont 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 20 3 3 +41 +3.0 63
2 Marseille 25 16 4 5 +23 +1.8 52
3 Monaco 26 15 6 5 +19 +4.6 51
4 Lens 26 14 9 3 +19 +3.5 51
5 Rennes 25 14 4 7 +17 +0.2 46
6 Lille 26 13 6 7 +13 +5.5 45
7 Nice 26 11 9 6 +12 +2.5 42
8 Lorient 25 11 6 8 +2 -1.0 39
9 Lyon 25 11 5 9 +11 +1.3 38
10 Reims 25 8 13 4 +7 +7.6 37
11 Toulouse 25 9 5 11 -4 +0.2 32
12 Clermont 25 8 7 10 -9 -3.5 31
13 Nantes 26 6 10 10 -7 -2.7 28
14 Montpellier 25 8 3 14 -10 -3.0 27
15 Strasbourg 25 4 10 11 -13 -3.2 22
16 Auxerre 26 5 7 14 -26 +2.2 22
17 Ajaccio 25 6 3 16 -26 +0.9 21
18 Brest 25 4 8 13 -16 -5.3 20
19 Troyes 26 4 8 14 -21 -10.4 20
20 Angers 25 2 4 19 -32 -4.2 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Toulouse Clermont
Rasmus Nicolaisen 🟨
37′
Mikkel Desler 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Florent Ogier
Half-time 0–0
S. Hamulic 🔁
↦ T. Dallinga
59′
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
60′
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ G. Suazo
67′
68′
🔁 B. Diallo
↦ M. Zeffane
68′
🔁 A. Maurer
↦ M. Cham
71′
🔁 K. Andrić
↦ G. Kyei
71′
🔁 J. Gastien
↦ M. Gonalons
76′
S. Khaoui 0–1
K. Andrić
V. Birmančević 🔁
↦ F. Chaïbi
77′
V. Sierro 🔁
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
77′
Branco van den Boomen 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 Y. Massolin
↦ S. Khaoui
Said Hamulic 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
30 M. Dupé G
3 M. Desler D
4 A. Rouault D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
15 G. Suazo D
17 S. Spierings M
8 B. van den Boomen M
6 Z. Aboukhlal M
10 B. Dejaegere M
28 F. Chaïbi M
27 T. Dallinga F
Bench (9)
29 S. Hamulic
7 A. Onaiwu
23 M. Diarra
19 V. Birmančević
13 V. Sierro
16 K. Haug
26 W. Kamanzi
14 Logan Costa
5 D. Genreau

Coach: P. Montanier

Clermont

3-4-2-1
99 M. Diaw G
15 C. Konaté D
21 F. Ogier D
3 Neto Borges D
2 M. Zeffane M
7 Y. Magnin M
12 M. Gonalons M
11 J. Allevinah M
10 S. Khaoui F
70 M. Cham F
95 G. Kyei F
Bench (8)
31 B. Diallo
22 A. Maurer
9 K. Andrić
25 J. Gastien
97 Y. Massolin
17 O. Kamdem
13 S. Cissé
40 O. Djoco

Coach: P. Gastien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U
3,78
B ✓
4,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.