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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Rennes
T T S S S
0–1
Full-time
Marseille
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 60%
56%
64%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
68%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
68%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 1,63
55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 5. · Marseille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 20 3 3 +41 +3.0 63
2 Marseille 25 16 4 5 +23 +1.8 52
3 Monaco 26 15 6 5 +19 +4.6 51
4 Lens 26 14 9 3 +19 +3.5 51
5 Rennes 25 14 4 7 +17 +0.2 46
6 Lille 26 13 6 7 +13 +5.5 45
7 Nice 26 11 9 6 +12 +2.5 42
8 Reims 26 9 13 4 +8 +7.9 40
9 Lorient 26 11 7 8 +2 -2.2 40
10 Lyon 26 11 6 9 +11 +2.5 39
11 Clermont 26 9 7 10 -8 -3.7 34
12 Toulouse 26 9 5 12 -5 +0.4 32
13 Montpellier 26 9 3 14 -5 -1.0 30
14 Nantes 26 6 10 10 -7 -2.7 28
15 Brest 26 5 8 13 -15 -5.7 23
16 Strasbourg 26 4 10 12 -14 -2.9 22
17 Auxerre 26 5 7 14 -26 +2.2 22
18 Ajaccio 26 6 3 17 -27 +0.7 21
19 Troyes 26 4 8 14 -21 -10.4 20
20 Angers 26 2 4 20 -37 -6.2 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Marseille
D. Doué 🔁
↦ J. Doku
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ M. Guendouzi
57′
S. Kolašinac 0–1
C. Ünder
Désiré Doué 🟨
66′
I. Salah 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
73′
80′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ J. Clauss
85′
🔁 A. Ounahi
↦ C. Ünder
85′
🔁 Vítinha
↦ A. Sánchez
L. Majer 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
86′
92′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
90 D. Spence D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
10 J. Doku M
8 B. Santamaría M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 K. Toko Ekambi M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
33 D. Doué
34 I. Salah
21 L. Majer
6 L. Ugochukwu
18 J. Belocian
15 C. Wooh
2 J. Rodon
1 D. Alemdar
25 B. Meling

Coach: B. Génésio

Marseille

3-4-2-1
16 Pau López G
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
23 S. Kolašinac D
30 Nuno Tavares M
21 V. Rongier M
27 J. Veretout M
7 J. Clauss M
17 C. Ünder F
6 M. Guendouzi F
70 A. Sánchez F
Bench (9)
18 R. Malinovskyi
29 I. Kaboré
8 A. Ounahi
9 Vítinha
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
36 Rubén Blanco
3 E. Bailly
10 D. Payet
47 B. Elmaz

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,52
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.