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Serie B
Referee: S Sozza
Spal
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Cittadella
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
37%
37%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 20. · Cittadella 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 27 18 4 5 +27 58
2 Genoa 27 13 9 5 +12 48
3 Bari 27 12 10 5 +17 46
4 Sudtirol 27 11 11 5 +3 44
5 Pisa 28 10 12 6 +12 42
6 Reggina 28 13 3 12 +8 42
7 Parma 28 11 7 10 +4 40
8 Cagliari 27 9 11 7 +2 38
9 Palermo 28 9 11 8 -2 38
10 Ascoli 27 9 9 9 -1 36
11 Modena 27 10 5 12 +1 35
12 Ternana 27 9 8 10 -7 35
13 Cittadella 27 8 10 9 -8 34
14 Como 27 7 11 9 -4 32
15 Perugia 27 8 6 13 -3 30
16 Venezia 27 7 8 12 -6 29
17 Benevento 27 6 9 12 -8 27
18 Brescia 27 6 8 13 -18 26
19 Cosenza 27 6 8 13 -20 26
20 Spal 27 5 10 12 -9 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Cittadella
Giannis Fetfatzidis 🟨
17′
Niccolò Zanellato 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Nicola Pavan
Georgi Tunjov 🟨
30′
1–0 I. Fetfatzidis
F. Maistro
41′
43′
🟨 Simone Branca
Half-time 1–0
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
55′
A. Murgia 🔁
↦ N. Zanellato
55′
C. Dalle Mura 🔁
↦ G. Tunjov
56′
56′
🔁 G. Carriero
↦ A. Vita
56′
🔁 G. Ambrosino
↦ A. Magrassi
63′
🔁 T. Maistrello
↦ Raúl Asencio
2–0 M. Prati
L. Dickmann
72′
74′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ S. Branca
74′
🔁 Carlos Embaló
↦ M. Antonucci
Simone Rabbi 🟨
76′
77′
ℹ️ Giuseppe Carriero
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
G. Ambrosino 2–1
Alessandro Murgia 🟨
84′
A. Almici 🔁
↦ L. Dickmann
91′
F. Zuculini 🔁
↦ M. Prati
91′
95′
🟨 Alessandro Salvi
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Spal

4-2-3-1
1 E. Alfonso G
24 L. Dickmann D
18 M. Arena D
6 B. Meccariello D
3 A. Tripaldelli D
20 M. Prati M
10 N. Zanellato M
40 G. Tunjov M
37 F. Maistro M
11 I. Fetfatzidis M
19 A. La Mantia F
Bench (12)
99 S. Rabbi
23 A. Murgia
4 C. Dalle Mura
29 A. Almici
14 F. Zuculini
27 P. Peda
9 G. Moncini
32 N. Rauti
2 A. Fiordaliso
21 R. Celia
49 G. Rossi
17 A. Pomini

Coach: M. Oddo

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
14 A. Salvi D
5 D. Del Fabro D
15 D. Frare D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
90 Raúl Asencio F
99 A. Magrassi F
Bench (11)
20 G. Carriero
70 G. Ambrosino
32 T. Maistrello
29 V. Mastrantonio
7 Carlos Embaló
72 A. Danzi
18 A. Mattioli
3 G. Felicioli
77 L. Maniero
17 D. Donnarumma
2 R. Perticone

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
2,95
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.