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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
SK Rapid
S S T S S
2–4
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 63%
47%
79%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 5. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 19 15 3 1 +32 48
2 Sturm Graz 20 12 6 2 +18 42
3 LASK 20 10 7 3 +12 37
4 Austria Vienna 20 9 5 6 +6 32
5 SK Rapid 19 9 3 7 +10 30
6 Tirol 20 8 4 8 -1 28
7 A. Klagenfurt 20 8 3 9 -4 27
8 A. Lustenau 20 5 6 9 -11 21
9 Wolfsberger AC 20 6 2 12 -5 20
10 Hartberg 20 5 2 13 -19 17
11 Altach 20 4 4 12 -21 16
12 Ried 20 3 5 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Salzburg
4′
N. Seiwald 0–1
A. Ulmer
7′
🟨 Strahinja Pavlović
Jonas Antonius Auer 🟨
25′
25′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
37′
🟨 Nicolas Seiwald
1–1 B. Zimmermann
M. Grüll
44′
45′
🟨 Philipp Köhn
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 B. Šeško
↦ N. Oka
47′
🔁 O. Gloukh
↦ L. Sučić
63′
🟨 Chukwubuike Adamu
Aleksa Pejić ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
68′
Aleksa Pejić 🟨
69′
A. Bajić 🔁
↦ B. Zimmermann
74′
79′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ J. Adamu
79′
🔁 M. Kjærgaard
↦ N. Capaldo
80′
B. Šeško 1–2
D. Petrovič 🔁
↦ P. Greil
81′
M. Moormann 🔁
↦ M. Grüll
81′
84′
B. Šeško 1–3
O. Gloukh
C. Knasmüllner 🔁
↦ R. Kerschbaum
85′
87′
B. Šeško 1–4
N. Seiwald
90′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ A. Dedić
2–4 G. Burgstaller
J. Auer
95′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
2 D. Kasius D
43 L. Querfeld D
19 M. Sollbauer D
23 J. Auer D
14 A. Pejić M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
41 B. Zimmermann M
24 P. Greil M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
29 A. Bajić
16 D. Petrovič
26 M. Moormann
8 C. Knasmüllner
28 M. Oswald
25 P. Gartler
6 K. Wimmer

Coach: Z. Barišić

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
13 N. Seiwald M
21 L. Sučić M
77 N. Okafor F
9 J. Adamu F
Bench (7)
37 O. Gloukh
30 B. Šeško
20 S. Koïta
14 M. Kjærgaard
2 I. Van der Brempt
40 A. Stejskal
95 Bernardo

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Muckenhammer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.