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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
2–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 8. · OFI Crete 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 30 20 6 4 +30 66
2 AEK 30 17 6 7 +29 57
3 Panathinaikos 30 15 9 6 +7 54
4 PAOK 30 16 5 9 +26 53
5 Aris Thessalonikis 28 14 6 8 +7 48
6 Aris 28 14 6 8 +7 48
7 OFI Crete 31 12 6 13 -3 42
8 Asteras Tripolis 31 12 6 13 -4 42
9 Panetolikos 31 11 7 13 -2 40
10 Atromitos 30 11 6 13 -1 39
11 Levadeiakos 31 9 10 12 +0 37
12 Panserraikos 31 9 5 17 -20 32
13 Volos NFC 31 8 7 16 -20 31
14 Athens Kallithea 31 5 10 16 -19 25
15 Lamia 31 3 7 21 -37 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
8′
🟨 Vasilis Lampropoulos
14′
M. Bakić 0–1
15′
🟨 Giannis Theodosoulakis
1–1 T. Chatzigiovanis
34′
Miguel Muñoz Mora 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Gioacchini
N. Kaltsas
49′
54′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ T. Fountas
54′
🔁 T. Nuss
↦ Z. Karachalios
58′
🟨 Thiago Nuss
O. Adefunyibomi 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
62′
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
63′
65′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
68′
🔁 G. Apostolakis
↦ L. Shengelia
68′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ T. Androutsos
Xesc Regis 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
69′
N. Zouglis 🔁
↦ N. Gioacchini
69′
78′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ G. Theodosoulakis
E. Yablonskiy 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
81′
F. Macheda 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
81′
Diamantis Chouchoumis 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-2
16 P. Tsintotas G
3 D. Houhoumis D
19 Pepe Castaño D
15 S. Deli D
29 F. Álvarez D
20 N. Kaltsas M
10 Eder González M
22 Miki Muñoz M
21 T. Chatzigiovanis M
7 J. Bartolo F
9 N. Gioacchini F
Bench (9)
69 O. Adefunyibomi
11 Xesc Regis
77 N. Zouglis
5 E. Yablonskiy
41 F. Macheda
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos
1 N. Papadopoulos
2 Rubén García
8 T. Tzandaris

Coach: S. Pantelidis

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 D. Naumov G
4 N. Marinakis D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
30 J. Silva D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
6 Z. Karachalios M
88 M. Bakić M
27 L. Shengelia M
14 T. Androutsos M
11 T. Fountas M
46 G. Theodosoulakis F
Bench (9)
10 J. Neira
18 T. Nuss
45 G. Apostolakis
7 Adrián Riera
9 E. Salcedo
31 N. Christogeorgos
34 K. Lewis
5 Bressan
22 G. Christopoulos

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,25
B
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Zabalas · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.