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Super League
Referee: F Zwayer
Panathinaikos
S U T T S
3–1
Full-time
PAOK
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
53%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
33%
63%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 30 20 6 4 +30 66
2 AEK 30 17 6 7 +29 57
3 Panathinaikos 30 15 9 6 +7 54
4 PAOK 30 16 5 9 +26 53
5 Aris 29 15 6 8 +8 51
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 14 6 8 +7 48
7 Asteras Tripolis 32 13 6 13 -3 45
8 OFI Crete 32 12 6 14 -4 42
9 Panetolikos 31 11 7 13 -2 40
10 Atromitos 31 11 6 14 -2 39
11 Levadeiakos 31 9 10 12 +0 37
12 Panserraikos 31 9 5 17 -20 32
13 Volos NFC 31 8 7 16 -20 31
14 Athens Kallithea 31 5 10 16 -19 25
15 Lamia 31 3 7 21 -37 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos PAOK
Facundo Pellistri 🟨
14′
Filip Mladenović 🟨
21′
21′
🟨 Fedor Chalov
28′
🟨 Dimitrios Pelkas
1–0 A. Ounahi
K. Świderski
33′
2–0 A. Ounahi
M. Siopis
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Taison
↦ D. Pelkas
46′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ F. Chalov
3–0 K. Świderski
G. Vagiannidis
50′
57′
🔁 Jonny
↦ Joan Sastre
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
67′
Tetê 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
68′
75′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ S. Meïté
75′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ A. Živković
78′
G. Konstantelias 3–1
Taison
A. Gnezda Čerin 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
80′
84′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
87′
🟨 Mbwana Ally Samatta
Willian Arão 🔁
↦ M. Siopis
88′
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
89′
94′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-1-4-1
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
24 M. Siopis M
28 F. Pellistri M
8 A. Ounahi M
20 N. Maksimović M
31 F. Đuričić M
19 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
10 Tetê
16 A. Gnezda Čerin
55 Willian Arão
18 D. Limnios
1 Y. Lodygin
14 E. Palmer-Brown
6 Zeca
29 A. Jeremejeff

Coach: Rui Vitória

PAOK

4-4-1-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
28 M. Wieteska D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
14 A. Živković M
27 M. Ozdoev M
82 S. Meïté M
80 D. Pelkas M
7 G. Konstantelias F
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (9)
11 Taison
70 M. Samatta
19 Jonny
22 S. Schwab
47 S. Shoretire
4 S. Peña
25 K. Thymianis
20 Vieirinha
1 J. Pavlenka

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,23
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.