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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Auxerre
T S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Lyon
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,74 xG 3,09
41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 10. · Lyon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 28 23 5 0 +54 +48.6 74
2 Monaco 29 16 5 8 +22 +35.3 53
3 Marseille 29 16 4 9 +16 +10.5 52
4 Lille 29 14 8 7 +13 +7.7 50
5 Strasbourg 29 14 8 7 +11 -6.9 50
6 Nice 29 13 9 7 +17 +17.7 48
7 Lyon 28 14 6 8 +16 +8.9 48
8 Brest 29 13 5 11 +1 -7.2 44
9 Lens 29 12 6 11 +0 +6.0 42
10 Auxerre 28 10 8 10 +0 -9.8 38
11 Rennes 29 11 2 16 +4 +3.7 35
12 Toulouse 29 9 7 13 +0 +11.2 34
13 Nantes 28 7 9 12 -14 -15.7 30
14 Angers 29 8 6 15 -18 -15.8 30
15 Reims 29 7 8 14 -11 -19.5 29
16 Le Havre 29 8 3 18 -30 -17.1 27
17 St Etienne 29 6 6 17 -36 -34.6 24
18 Montpellier 29 4 3 22 -45 -23.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Lyon
Sinaly Diomandé 🟨
2′
Half-time 0–0
Donovan Léon 🟨
52′
54′
G. Mikautadze 0–1
58′
🟨 Thiago Almada
62′
R. Cherki 0–2
C. Tolisso
F. Ayé 🔁
↦ A. Onaiwu
66′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ C. Akpa
66′
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
71′
P. Joly 🔁
↦ K. Hoever
71′
1–2 L. Sinayoko
77′
R. Matondo 🔁
↦ K. Danois
82′
84′
A. Lacazette 1–3
G. Mikautadze
85′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ T. Almada
85′
🔁 A. Maitland-Niles
↦ N. Matić
85′
🔁 J. Veretout
↦ R. Cherki
Rudy Matondo 🟨
88′
98′
🔁 N. Tagliafico
↦ G. Mikautadze
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Auxerre

5-4-1
16 D. Léon G
23 K. Hoever D
20 S. Diomandé D
4 Jubal D
92 C. Akpa D
14 G. Mensah D
10 G. Perrin M
18 A. Dioussé M
27 K. Danois M
45 A. Onaiwu M
17 L. Sinayoko F
Bench (9)
19 F. Ayé
9 T. Bair
12 F. Oppegård
26 P. Joly
34 R. Matondo
35 M. Muzungu
40 T. De Percin
15 Y. Cisse
11 E. Maddy

Coach: C. Pélissier

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Perri G
20 S. Kumbedi D
55 D. Ćaleta-Car D
19 M. Niakhaté D
16 Abner D
31 N. Matić M
8 C. Tolisso M
18 R. Cherki M
23 T. Almada M
69 G. Mikautadze M
10 A. Lacazette F
Bench (9)
15 T. Tessmann
98 A. Maitland-Niles
7 J. Veretout
3 N. Tagliafico
40 R. Descamps
27 W. Omari
32 A. Rodríguez
4 P. Akouokou
22 Clinton Mata

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U
3,71
B ✓
2,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.