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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Hamilton
T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,3
4,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,5
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,3
4,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

27% Possession 73%
4 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 7. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +14 12
2 Rangers 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Livingston 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Aberdeen 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 -2 4
7 Hamilton 4 1 1 2 -3 4
8 Ross County 4 1 1 2 -3 4
9 Hibernian 4 1 1 2 -7 4
10 St Mirren 4 1 0 3 -2 3
11 Hearts 4 0 2 2 -3 2
12 ST Johnstone 4 0 2 2 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Celtic
4′
J. Forrest 0–1
M. Elyounoussi
Markus Fjortoft 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Ogboe 🔁
↦ G. Oakley
53′
67′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ M. Elyounoussi
A. Beck 🔁
↦ M. Fjørtoft
70′
C. McKenna 🔁
↦ S. Want
78′
78′
🔁 V. Bayo
↦ O. Édouard
Alexander Gogic 🟨
84′
92′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ R. Christie
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

5-4-1
1 O. Williams G
24 B. Easton D
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
5 M. Fjørtoft D
21 S. Want D
26 S. Stubbs D
10 B. Alston M
28 L. Smith M
7 W. Collar M
9 G. Oakley M
Bench (7)
99 M. Ogboe
17 A. Beck
4 C. McKenna
20 D. Moyo
18 D. MacKinnon
31 L. Southwood
14 R. Cunningham

Coach: B. Rice

Celtic

4-2-3-1
67 F. Forster G
33 H. Elhamed D
2 C. Jullien D
23 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
35 K. Ajer D
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
18 T. Rogić
10 V. Bayo
15 J. Hayes
1 C. Gordon
21 O. Ntcham
13 M. Bauer
9 L. Griffiths

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
15,82
U
7,28
B ✓
1,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,47
U2,5 ✓
2,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.