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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Motherwell
U T T S S
1–5
Full-time
Rangers
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 13%
13%
13%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,8
2,1
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Rangers 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 2 0 +15 20
2 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 Hibernian 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Aberdeen 6 4 0 2 +0 12
5 Kilmarnock 9 3 2 4 +1 11
6 Ross County 8 3 2 3 -4 11
7 Dundee United 9 3 2 4 -7 11
8 Motherwell 8 2 2 4 -2 8
9 Livingston 9 2 2 5 -4 8
10 Hamilton 8 2 1 5 -7 7
11 ST Johnstone 9 2 1 6 -7 7
12 St Mirren 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Rangers
12′
⚽ J. Tavernier 0–1
28′
⚽ J. Jones 0–2
S. Arfield
Ricki Lamie 🟨
31′
37′
⚽ J. Tavernier 0–3
Half-time 0–3
B. Maguire 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
46′
C. Long 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
46′
S. Seedorf 🔁
↦ C. Lang
58′
60′
🔁 L. Balogun
↦ F. Helander
68′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ R. Kent
J. White 🔁
↦ T. Watt
70′
75′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ A. Morelos
75′
⚽ C. Itten 0–4
S. Arfield
76′
🔁 G. Edmundson
↦ J. Jones
76′
🔁 J. Defoe
↦ S. Davis
80′
⚽ C. Itten 0–5
I. Hagi
0–6 G. Edmundson ⚽
own goal
87′
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
31 D. Gallagher D
33 S. O'Donnell M
4 R. Lamie D
2 L. Grimshaw M
16 B. Mugabi D
19 L. Polworth M
7 M. O'Hara M
6 A. Campbell M
32 T. Watt F
29 C. Lang F
Bench (9)
15 B. Maguire
99 C. Long
17 S. Seedorf
9 J. White
8 R. Crawford
26 D. Cornelius
5 N. McGinley
14 J. Hylton
23 P. Morrison

Coach: S. Robinson

Rangers

4-3-3
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
5 F. Helander D
3 C. Ughelumba D
10 S. Davis M
37 S. Arfield M
18 G. Kamara M
22 J. Jones F
20 A. Morelos F
14 R. Kent F
Bench (9)
26 L. Balogun
11 C. Itten
7 I. Hagi
4 G. Edmundson
9 J. Defoe
16 N. Patterson
24 G. Stewart
33 J. McLaughlin
31 B. Barišić

Coach: S. Gerrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,29
U
5,09
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.