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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Angers
S S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Brest
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Brest 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Lille 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 St Etienne 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Montpellier 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Marseille 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Nice 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Bordeaux 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Brest 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Angers 4 2 0 2 -3 6
13 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
14 Nantes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Metz 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Lorient 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Strasbourg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
19 Reims 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Brest
3′
S. Mounié 0–1
1–1 S. Thioub
R. Aït Nouri
21′
27′
🟨 Ibrahima Diallo
32′
G. Charbonnier 1–2
J. Le Douaron
Mateo Pavlović 🟨
39′
Thomas Mangani 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–2
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
46′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ A. Bobichon
46′
62′
🔁 R. Philippoteaux
↦ J. Le Douaron
L. Diony 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
71′
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
71′
71′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ G. Charbonnier
71′
🔁 F. Honorat
↦ R. Faivre
2–2 I. Traoré
P. Capelle
77′
E. Ebosse 🔁
↦ R. Aït Nouri
78′
3–2 A. Fulgini
L. Diony
80′
85′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
87′
🔁 P. Lasne
↦ H. Belkebla
87′
🔁 C. Battocchio
↦ I. Diallo
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-3-3
1 P. Bernardoni G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba D
2 R. Aït Nouri D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
10 A. Fulgini M
23 A. Bobichon F
19 S. Bahoken F
22 S. Thioub F
Bench (9)
14 L. Coulibaly
21 M. Cho
9 L. Diony
11 J. Cabot
6 E. Ebosse
20 K. Boma
12 Z. Ould Khaled
29 V. Manceau
16 L. Butelle

Coach: S. Moulin

Brest

4-2-3-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
23 C. Hérelle D
18 R. Perraud D
2 J. Duverne D
20 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
26 J. Le Douaron M
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
6 I. Diallo M
10 G. Charbonnier M
15 S. Mounié F
Bench (9)
12 R. Philippoteaux
14 I. Cardona
9 F. Honorat
8 P. Lasne
11 C. Battocchio
5 B. Chardonnet
16 S. Cibois
22 J. Faussurier
24 Ludovic Baal

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,26
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.