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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lorient

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Lyon

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

4 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 17. · Lyon 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Lille	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	St Etienne	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Monaco	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Lens	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Angers	5	3	0	2	-2	9
8	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Brest	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Nimes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Nantes	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Metz	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Reims	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bordeaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Nice	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Marseille	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.