Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |
Everton
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Crystal Palace
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |
Leeds
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Chelsea
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Man City
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Man United
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Southampton
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
West Brom
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 |
Sheffield United
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Masuaku
D
M. Antonio
F
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
Nélson Semedo
M
Rúben Vinagre
M
João Moutinho
M
R. Jiménez
F
Adama Traoré
F
Pedro Neto
F
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Arsenal
West Ham
West Ham
Newcastle
West Ham
Aston Villa
Man United
West Ham
West Ham
Watford
M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.