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Premier League

Referee: P Bankes

Tottenham

S S U T S

1–1

Full-time

Newcastle

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

23 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 11

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 8. · Newcastle 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Brighton	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
9	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.