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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Kilmarnock
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Hamilton
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 24%
14%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
57%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Hamilton 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 6 1 0 +15 19
2 Celtic 6 5 1 0 +14 16
3 Hibernian 7 5 1 1 +8 16
4 Aberdeen 5 4 0 1 +3 12
5 Ross County 8 3 2 3 -4 11
6 ST Johnstone 8 2 1 5 -5 7
7 St Mirren 7 2 1 4 -6 7
8 Dundee United 7 2 1 4 -8 7
9 Hamilton 6 2 0 4 -6 6
10 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 -1 5
11 Livingston 7 1 2 4 -5 5
12 Motherwell 7 1 2 4 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Hamilton
1–0 G. Kiltie
C. Burke
10′
18′
H. Odoffin 1–1
Eamonn Brophy 🟥
23′
28′
🟨 Shaun Want
45′
🟨 Marios Ogboe
Half-time 1–1
56′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ S. Martin
2–1 N. Kabamba
57′
61′
🔁 J. Johnson
↦ J. Hamilton
68′
🔁 A. Winter
↦ M. Ogkmpoe
68′
🔁 C. Trafford
↦ W. Collar
78′
🟨 Reegan Mimnaugh
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ C. Burke
82′
Aaron Tshibola 🟨
90′
M. Pinnock 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
17 S. Findlay D
18 C. Waters D
22 R. Millen D
29 C. Burke M
8 G. Dicker M
27 A. Tshibola M
9 E. Brophy F
10 G. Kiltie M
11 N. Kabamba F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
19 M. Pinnock
4 C. Dikamona
16 C. Doyle
2 A. McGowan
14 Z. Rossi
3 B. Haunstrup
20 I. Cameron
12 D. Whitehall

Coach: A. Dyer

Hamilton

4-3-1-2
23 R. Fulton G
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
6 J. Hamilton D
10 D. Templeton M
8 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
18 R. Mimnaugh M
20 D. Moyo F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
32 C. Smith
37 J. Johnson
19 A. Winter
14 C. Trafford
36 T. Owolabi
15 R. Hughes
16 M. Fjørtoft
22 K. Gourlay
17 G. Stanger

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
4,07
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.