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Premiership
Referee: A Dallas
Motherwell
S S T S S
1–4
Full-time
Celtic
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
36%
73%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 32%
18%
45%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 11 2 0 +26 35
2 Celtic 11 8 2 1 +18 26
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 11 4 2 5 +0 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 11 2 1 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Aug -20 Celtic – Motherwell 3–0 5. Feb -20 Motherwell – Celtic 0–4 10. Nov -19 Celtic – Motherwell 2–0 10. Aug -19 Motherwell – Celtic 2–5

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
8′
⚽ M. Elyounoussi 0–1
27′
⚽ M. Elyounoussi 0–2
T. Rogić
Barry Maguire 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
Devante Cole 🟨
53′
70′
🔁 H. Elhamed
↦ J. Frimpong
70′
🔁 O. Édouard
↦ A. Ajeti
R. Crawford 🔁
↦ B. Maguire
71′
C. Long 🔁
↦ D. Cole
71′
1–2 D. Gallagher ⚽
L. Polworth
72′
76′
⚽ M. Elyounoussi 1–3
H. Elhamed
78′
🔁 S. Duffy
↦ K. Ajer
Tony Watt 🟨
81′
J. White 🔁
↦ T. Watt
81′
84′
🔁 O. Ntcham
↦ T. Rogić
86′
⚽ O. Ntcham 1–4
O. Édouard
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
34 A. Chapman G
31 D. Gallagher D
33 S. O'Donnell D
5 N. McGinley D
19 L. Polworth M
7 M. O'Hara D
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
29 C. Lang F
Bench (9)
8 R. Crawford
99 C. Long
9 J. White
13 J. Archer
27 M. Johnston
2 L. Grimshaw
24 D. Devine
11 J. Hastie
26 D. Cornelius

Coach: S. Robinson

Celtic

4-2-3-1
29 S. Bain G
93 D. Laxalt D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong D
8 S. Brown M
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
18 T. Rogić M
17 R. Christie M
10 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
44 H. Elhamed
22 O. Édouard
4 S. Duffy
21 O. Ntcham
9 L. Griffiths
14 D. Turnbull
1 V. Barkas
3 G. Taylor
11 P. Klimala

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,48
🔒
U
4,76
🔒
B ✓
1,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,24
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Dallas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.