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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Sociedad
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Granada
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
63%
57%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
63%
29%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%
22 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
15 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Granada 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 9 5 3 1 +4 18
2 Ath Madrid 7 5 2 0 +15 17
3 Sociedad 8 5 2 1 +14 17
4 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 +8 16
5 Granada 7 4 2 1 +0 14
6 Cadiz 9 4 2 3 -2 14
7 Betis 9 4 0 5 -5 12
8 Barcelona 7 3 2 2 +7 11
9 Getafe 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Elche 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Sevilla 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 -1 10
13 Ath Bilbao 7 3 0 4 -1 9
14 Eibar 9 2 3 4 -3 9
15 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -3 8
17 Celta 9 1 4 4 -9 7
18 Huesca 9 0 6 3 -8 6
19 Levante 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Valladolid 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Granada
Mikel Merino 🟨
19′
1–0 Nacho Monreal
22′
2–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
27′
Half-time 2–0
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
46′
46′
🔁 K. Fobi
↦ Kenedy
46′
🔁 Dani Plomer
↦ Soldado
Jon Guridi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
Zubeldía 🔁
↦ Zaldúa
61′
Martín Merquelanz 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
62′
Portu 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
62′
67′
🔁 J. Brunet
↦ Ismael Ruiz
76′
🔁 Álvaro Bravo
↦ Jorge Molina
Aihen Muñoz 🔁
↦ Nacho Monreal
79′
80′
🟨 Sergio Barcia
Robin Le Normand 🟥
86′
David Silva 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
20 Nacho Monreal D
2 Zaldúa D
6 Elustondo D
24 R. Le Normand D
21 David Silva M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
36 Martín Zubimendi M
9 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (11)
14 Jon Guridi
5 Zubeldía
17 Martín Merquelanz
7 Portu
12 Aihen Muñoz
19 A. Isak
25 Jon Bautista
28 Roberto López
16 Guevara
13 Moyà
22 Barrenetxea

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Granada

4-2-3-1
41 Ángel Jiménez G
3 N. Pérez D
28 Pepe Sánchez D
42 Sergio Barcia D
24 Kenedy D
8 Y. Eteki M
29 Ismael Ruiz M
9 Soldado F
23 Jorge Molina M
11 D. Machís M
7 L. Suárez M
Bench (8)
44 K. Fobi
38 Dani Plomer
36 J. Brunet
37 Álvaro Bravo
39 E. Abedini
40 Carlos León
43 Rafael Romero
33 Echu

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,87
B
5,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.